Big Picture
How to interpret events in Kherson and other acts of a strange Russo-Ukrainian war
As most of the readers of this blog know, Russia decided to abandon Kherson. I won't be getting into the reasons and other details of this decision, as from my point of view it is going to have very negative consequences for the Russia's ability to continue this campaign from every possible angle: geopolitical, political, social, military, economic and any other aspect that comes to mind, including negotiating position. But it is important to note that this decision falls perfectly in line with the way how Russian Special Military Operation was and continues to be executed that defies their own military science guidelines on how a modern war should be conducted. Many of the retired Russian military, including Konstantin Sivkov, former officer of the Staff General now deputy director of the Academy of Rocket and Artillery Sciences (a military think tank), have expressed that opinion.
If you want more detail and analysis of the military component of this decision and the shortcomings of the Russian military campaign you can read this excellent blog post by the Anti-Empire. I'm in total agreement with their analysis.
Anti-Empire post on Russian retreat from Kherson
But if military portion of this campaign is so blatantly off the mark on how the modern warfare should be conducted, this only leaves us to direct our attention to a level higher, to politics and see who is on the losing and the winning end of this "strange war". The main beneficiary in the short to mid term is US. Democrats' incessant focus on using Ukraine as a weapon against Russia that continued for 9 years is paying off. As a result they have a subdued Europe, capital flight to the United States, demonstration of the military prowess after humiliation in Afghanistan. US reasserts itself as a top dog, at least among its vassals and the countries where they can twist their arms enough to make them do what the State Department wants. 52 countries that voted in UN against Russian resolution opposing glorification of Nazi ideology is a pretty precise list of the countries that are going to follow US' direction no matter what. In prior years number of countries voting against this resolution was only 2, (US and Ukraine) today we have 2+50. Further on winners and losers… Obviously EU is getting a short stick here - energy shortages and higher prices, losing a sizeable Russian market for their high profit margin goods, another refugee crisis, unhappy population, even further reduction in political sovereignty. For Russia, along with many negatives, such as a significant lowering of position in international power ranking where it was considered not a great economic power but a significant military power, now no more - many see that the bear is not that scary and has got got claws made of cardboard. That military humiliation is going to have a long negative effect on Russia. On the positive side for Russia - this war is a jolt, both for the system and for society. It uncovered that Russian military was a cash cow for generals serving their personal enrichment goals, that economy based only on extraction and export of natural resources is a way to nowhere. That society, if it wants to survive during difficult periods, can't be based only on consumerism. That ruling power structures in Russia are inadequate for handling of current challenging situation and so forth. Russia now stands before a very difficult choice, either change rapidly or to disappear in a shape and form we know it now, as USSR did in 1991. China rips benefits from this conflict - broader access to Russian natural resources at a lower price and increased sale of their own high margin products replacing Europe in the sizeable Russian market. Same applies to India. Obviously on the beneficiary side of this war are the Globalists and their plan for Great Reset. COVID pandemic didn't come close to the damage to world economy that this war did in terms of inflation and disruptions to supply chain and previously established trading schemes.
Now, did Putin understand all of the nuances of who will be a loser and who is going to be a winner because of his military intervention campaign globally, when he ordered Russian troops to move into Ukraine in February? I think he did and this was a part of the agreed upon game. His assertion that Russia was forced to attack first because Ukraine was ready to start offensive in March is a total nonsense. Russia would have been in a much more advantageous position if Ukraine started this war first. But he couldn't wait since a) Full scale Ukrainian offensive on republics wasn't certain and b) Global planners could not wait and depend on the whims of a comedian Zelensky to start the war. They had to go to Putin who is famous for sticking to his commitments to the "Western partners". Did Putin understand the complete spectrum of risks that this action creates for Russia and his personal power and even physical survival? No, I think that his advisors have purposely presented diminished risks, overstating Russian military capabilities and perhaps they were victims of a bad intel about Ukraine themselves, coming from the people like the exchanged for 160 Azov regiment soldiers former Ukrainian opposition leader, Medvedchuk.
So my conclusion about this war is that it isn't driven by the military goals in a traditional sense. Both Russia and the United States, but in the first place the global planners with a good degree of influence on the official leadership of the countries, want this conflict to go for a period of time needed to achieve other goals, principally related to nearing conditions needed for the Great Reset, that in practicality means population reduction, greater command over remaining population using converged digital-medical-social means of manipulation and control, introduction and take over of financial markets by CBDCs that will also be used as one of the principal means of control, reduction of consumption by the remaining population switching most of proteins to insect and artificial sources and many other "smaller" changes spanning from education, gender policies, hiring practices etc. This is why we see in this war a certain caution preventing one side from gaining a clear victory. Russia looks like it fights with one hand behind its back, on constant retreat after very successful first 10 days of the operation, refusing to do what is needed to break Ukrainian supply lines flowing to the Eastern front. At the same time US and the West in general despite the rhetoric still didn't give Ukraine long range missiles, modern fighter jets and effective air defense systems in sufficient quantities. Conflict continues with the use of mostly Soviet weaponry on both sides that dates back 30 years +++, serving two main goals the way I see it - destroying infrastructure built by Soviets over the 70 years and killing in large quantities men of productive age on both sides. When the set but not stated goals for this war are going to be achieved? This is hard to say. But my projection is that by mid spring next year all sides including Ukraine, Russia, population of the Western countries will reach a sufficient level of exhaustion from this conflict so that it would have to be at least suspended and each side is going to declare itself a victor.
Here is an interesting video that was released on February 24th of this year, where Russian businessman industrialist, Vladimir Boglaev, the head of the mechanical foundry factory in the city of Cherepovets expressed his opinion on how this war is very likely not a part of scenario that Russia wanted to play, but was rather a result of a third party influence that made Putin to act the way he did. Original video was produced and published on February 24th of this year, translation to English version appeared only a day ago, on November 9, 2022. Despite the fact that original video is now 9 months old, it still didn't loose its relevance.
I think your analysis is on target. A stage managed war to bring about conditions need for the great reset is the only thing that makes sense, because nothing else makes any sense!!
Great article. I agree, and also with the Anti-War article and Boglaev.
Almost no one else seems to be noticing that both sides are basically doing the same thing. Ukraine is throwing their soldiers to the front unprepared, knowing they will be slaughtered, while NATO arms them just enough to make sure there's no surrender but not well enough to prevent several thousand soldiers killed every week. NATO, led by Britain, sinks the Muskova, blows up Russian oil platforms in the Black Sea, blows up the gas pipelines and the Kerch bridge, all without any retaliation against Britain or NATO, but is afraid to give Ukraine medium-range missiles. That makes no sense from either side. Obviously, the NATO strategy is maximum casualties of Ukrainian men, and Russia has no intention of defending itself against NATO. Instead, Russia attacks civilian energy infrastructure, while all over the world the Western governments are undermining energy infrastructure for their great reset. What a coincidence.
And on the Russian side, so many more incongruent facts. First, as Boglaev suggested, the timing of the SMO was absolutely perfect for the great reset agenda, as if on cue. Just as people were beginning to wake up to the covid scam, and dropping like flies from the DARPA clot shots, the world gets a new villain in Putin, and in one day the media narrative forgets the global pandemic and associated intentional mass destruction and has a mission to save poor Ukraine from savage attack. It couldn't have been scripted any more conveniently for the globalists.
And then the SMO has been bizarre from day one. Sending recon units driving up the highway directly into Ukrainian cities without any heavy weapons, without backup or supply lines, to be rapidly executed in ambushes, was absolutely the most insane "real" warfare I've ever seen. Those advance units were literally murdered by their own commanders.
Then it seemed to be turning in Russia's favor, until the progress rapidly comes to a halt, there's very little combat for weeks, and then suddenly the SMO is abandoning all of the territory it occupied around Kiev and all the way past Kharkiv, leaving the ethnic Russians who had greeted them to be slaughtered.
After a kick-ass campaign that captured the Severodonetsk area, with the Ukraine military retreating, they just stop again and go on vacation, to give NATO time to come in and reorganize the Ukraine military. Next thing we know, a 50% Ukraine, 50% NATO force attacks, and with little resistance the Russians abandon the Kharkiv area, supposedly because reinforcing the Kherson lines was more important.
And throughout all of these events, month after month, the shelling of civilians all over the Donbass gets worse by the day. We saw videos every day showing how expert the Russians are at taking out enemy artillery, but somehow with a negative overall effect. And curiously, did anyone see any missile strikes of large weapons shipments crossing the border from Poland? It seems Russia doesn't know where all of the multiplying artillery pieces are coming from?
Both sides seem to be cooperatively making Ukraine unlivable for the civilian population. And there is an explanation that perfectly fits, but is forbidden to speak about most places. Several years ago I was reading an old article in an Israeli magazine about geneology studies of the Ashkenazi Jews, and a rabbi they were interviewing acknowledged that the studies showed that a majority of modern Jews have Ukraine ancestry (and virtually no Semitic ancestry), and he mentioned that it's wonderful news for Jews because now they plan on making Ukraine a new Jewish state. Now here we are in 2022, with a scripted war run by Jews on both sides cleansing Ukraine of its Slavic inhabitants.
Another layer of motivation that's obvious with this war is the long-standing 'red line' the British have set with regard to insuring London remains the financial center of the world by prohibiting the Germans and the Russians from forming an economic alliance. The nord steam pipelines crossed this line, and so it was time for the periodic beat-down of Germany. With Germany having virtually no military, the British couldn't easily make them into villains, so they had to do it from the Russian side, and craft a strategy that would take down Germany too. They needed a war with Russia in order to cut off Germany's energy supplies.
But, most people would rather believe that the globalist elites are just so stupid they didn't know the sanctions and blowing up Germany's gas pipelines would hurt Germany, while the higher energy prices would benefit Russia.